Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 8.503339 9.879670 11.359758 13.064161 14.966886 17.019851 19.396462
2025-04-27 6.921514 8.736927 10.814749 13.349498 16.337775 19.728004 23.843282
2025-05-04 5.713014 7.749866 10.208669 13.355504 17.232976 21.810242 27.574220
2025-05-11 4.566780 6.637409 9.265853 12.781744 17.289912 22.801689 29.967139
2025-05-18 3.828887 5.925509 8.709748 12.581305 17.718551 24.188555 32.825900
2025-05-25 3.209632 5.279081 8.148495 12.286351 17.953113 25.284761 35.307811
2025-06-01 2.748722 4.789497 7.735749 12.128693 18.318801 26.521857 37.973227
2025-06-08 2.323580 4.292477 7.252145 11.812332 18.417886 27.374266 40.126888
2025-06-15 2.067586 4.023386 7.069571 11.898041 19.058558 28.956416 43.283800
2025-06-22 1.810814 3.717298 6.795757 11.815866 19.435511 30.168440 45.954824
2025-06-29 1.635863 3.526580 6.680875 11.956448 20.129303 31.832269 49.284973
2025-07-06 1.484117 3.356334 6.579980 12.103317 20.826799 33.511788 52.673399
2025-07-13 1.382491 3.268020 6.609787 12.461810 21.865366 35.727049 56.904379
2025-07-20 1.272307 3.148356 6.573092 12.704103 22.727653 37.704763 60.843150
2025-07-27 1.136982 2.959499 6.395858 12.695892 23.187758 39.091441 63.952192
2025-08-03 0.945168 2.623341 5.918305 12.139168 22.735135 39.077861 64.988306
2025-08-10 0.823190 2.418252 5.662605 11.944363 22.850476 39.918889 67.300880
2025-08-17 0.706861 2.206035 5.370693 11.660382 22.796196 40.484520 69.200874
2025-08-24 0.618322 2.044327 5.161495 11.508735 22.950087 41.370619 71.599342
2025-08-31 0.527152 1.858656 4.883081 11.205203 22.822676 41.796944 73.290489
2025-09-07 0.478454 1.775388 4.811222 11.287298 23.364343 43.305474 76.689674
2025-09-14 0.422793 1.662269 4.662766 11.208477 23.613785 44.341137 79.365829
2025-09-21 0.387706 1.601530 4.624409 11.343248 24.247459 46.019287 83.089689